so ω > 0, β ≥ 0, α ≥ 0, α + γ ≥ 0 and P < 1 hold by construction. One start
per persistence level (the best α / γ at that level), plus the warm start;
the highest likelihood wins. The GARCH(1,1) likelihood is multimodal on
short or jumpy series, and a single start stops in whichever mode is nearest.
Maximum likelihood by BFGS in an unconstrained space where every point is a valid, covariance-stationary model:
so ω > 0, β ≥ 0, α ≥ 0, α + γ ≥ 0 and P < 1 hold by construction. One start per persistence level (the best α / γ at that level), plus the warm start; the highest likelihood wins. The GARCH(1,1) likelihood is multimodal on short or jumpy series, and a single start stops in whichever mode is nearest.