Filtered historical simulation, one step: VaR and ES of r = μ + √s·z with z
the fit's own standardised residuals instead of a parametric family — the
tail comes from the data. Empirical, as simulatedTailRisk: the
⌈level·n⌉-th smallest residual and the mean of those at or below it.
Filtered historical simulation, one step: VaR and ES of r = μ + √s·z with z the fit's own standardised residuals instead of a parametric family — the tail comes from the data. Empirical, as
simulatedTailRisk: the ⌈level·n⌉-th smallest residual and the mean of those at or below it.